ND-Pres: This one is a real battleground

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 7/21-23. Likely voters. MoE 4.5% (No trend lines)

McCain (R) 45
Obama (D) 42

A couple of weeks ago, Rasmussen had the race tied 43-43, and some wondered whether it might be an outlier. Obama campaigned in the state over the Fourth of July holiday, suggesting their own internals showed a race in the cards, but Ras had offered the only recent public poll in the state. This R2K poll now confirms the fact that yes, North Dakota is a bona fide battleground.

North Dakota Poll
July 21-23, 2008, 500 likely voters interviewed statewide by telephone.
Margin for error is 4.5 percent.

Sample Figures:

Men       244       49%
Women     256       51%

Dem       150       30%
Rep       198       40%
Ind       152       30%

18-29      95       19%
30-44     124       25%
45-59     166       33%
60+       115       23%

North 134 interviews
East  205 interviews
South 161 interviews

If the election for President were held today, would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat,
or John McCain the Repblican?

         McCain    Obama     Und

All       45%       42%       13%

Men       51%       39%       10%
Women     39%       45%       16%

Dem        6%       85%        9%
Rep       78%        7%       15%
Ind       41%       45%       14%

18-29     40%       46%       14%
30-44     50%       39%       11%
45-59     46%       41%       13%
60+       44%       43%       13%

North     48%       39%       13%
East      39%       47%       14%
South     50%       39%       11%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is
doing as President?

         Approve  Disapprove Not Sure

All       34%       65%        1%

Men       38%       61%        1%
Women     30%       69%        1%

Dem        6%       94%
Rep       66%       33%        1%
Ind       20%       78%        2%

18-29     30%       69%        1%
30-44     37%       62%        1%
45-59     35%       64%        1%
60+       34%       65%        1%